Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.384649 0.435545 0.492426 0.561040 0.642001 0.735026 0.850777
2024-10-13 0.306011 0.372529 0.454036 0.562635 0.705634 0.890527 1.152753
2024-10-20 0.255141 0.326391 0.419476 0.552705 0.743108 1.012916 1.438544
2024-10-27 0.221709 0.294641 0.394798 0.546577 0.778566 1.133823 1.749273
2024-11-03 0.205556 0.282777 0.393778 0.571235 0.860520 1.338753 2.250555
2024-11-10 0.189006 0.267497 0.384683 0.580698 0.918539 1.516313 2.760975
2024-11-17 0.171681 0.248629 0.367123 0.572902 0.944670 1.642296 3.213690
2024-11-24 0.156015 0.230397 0.348013 0.559019 0.956370 1.742455 3.646662
2024-12-01 0.145478 0.219040 0.338475 0.559906 0.995020 1.904766 4.288048
2024-12-08 0.138799 0.213146 0.337168 0.575080 1.064034 2.149049 5.249596
2024-12-15 0.131009 0.204586 0.330196 0.578379 1.108957 2.350924 6.197300
2024-12-22 0.121644 0.192485 0.315661 0.564846 1.114849 2.460200 6.920564
2024-12-29 0.116903 0.188147 0.314989 0.579615 1.188897 2.770278 8.533518
2025-01-05 0.111073 0.181394 0.309185 0.583077 1.237790 3.030907 10.172094
2025-01-12 0.104199 0.172184 0.297795 0.573014 1.251633 3.196281 11.561267
2025-01-19 0.098421 0.164521 0.288660 0.566660 1.273804 3.395883 13.292845
2025-01-26 0.096569 0.163995 0.293502 0.592470 1.387041 3.935068 17.342486
2025-02-02 0.093217 0.160337 0.291630 0.602377 1.458979 4.365607 21.389182
2025-02-09 0.088443 0.153578 0.282734 0.594218 1.477069 4.606919 24.584647
2025-02-16 0.083494 0.146141 0.271796 0.579689 1.473341 4.764063 27.445123
2025-02-23 0.080251 0.141866 0.267231 0.580617 1.518093 5.143580 32.826355
2025-03-02 0.078441 0.140322 0.268419 0.596498 1.614999 5.803211 42.363107
2025-03-09 0.075775 0.136853 0.265057 0.599950 1.671818 6.312662 51.879268